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Red3
56955.5
55557.6
83625.7
Blue48
556717.9
69149.5
509021.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22440406080348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#38
7.62.2
8.86.6
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 14.2
5090
#12
21.81.2
17.318.5
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
8362
#20
5.72.2
7.65.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 12.2
17.91.2
14.015.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
5695
#31
5.52.2
6.24.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 4.0
6914
#17
9.51.2
6.17.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed