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Red2
56198.9
97476.3
92268.8
Blue36
509021.8
86239.4
71915.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532020406080100236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5619
#22
8.93.3
8.75.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End1.1
blue by 12.9
5090
#12
21.80.7
12.313.1
Auto11.5
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
9226
#32
8.83.3
13.810.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 0.6
8623
#23
9.40.7
8.39.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Third
9747
#24
6.31.3
4.65.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.8
End1.2
red by 0.6
7191
#26
5.70.7
8.79.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed