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Red43
506717.1
918215.6
97485.2
Blue51
569710.5
360424.6
652819.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34540204060801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5067
#13
17.10.9
16.016.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 7.5
24.60.1
22.922.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Second
9182
#19
15.60.9
13.914.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 4.0
19.50.1
14.514.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Third
9748
#33
5.20.9
3.34.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 5.3
5697
#21
10.50.1
9.49.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned