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Red51
97444.9
717425.1
505015.7
Blue32
118918.7
71915.7
55557.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432902060801001201405132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.6
22.222.8
Auto9.0
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 6.4
1189
#11
18.70.4
17.918.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Second
15.71.0
11.612.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 8.1
5555
#38
7.60.4
4.85.2
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
Third
9744
#39
4.90.9
3.24.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.1
End1.1
blue by 0.8
7191
#26
5.70.4
5.45.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed