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Red41
842710.5
285121.8
97485.2
Blue30
652819.5
92559.0
2808.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273101020405060704130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.1
14.615.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
red by 2.3
19.50.2
14.414.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
8427
#14
10.51.2
6.47.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 1.5
9255
#34
9.00.2
8.79.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Third
9748
#33
5.21.1
4.15.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 3.3
280
#35
8.50.2
4.54.8
Auto1.8
Teleop5.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed