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Red44
569710.5
54986.9
556717.9
Blue54
505015.7
652819.5
56955.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323502060801001201404454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.5
14.314.7
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 1.7
19.51.7
14.616.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Second
5697
#21
10.50.3
9.710.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 5.2
15.71.8
12.614.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Third
5498
#29
6.90.5
5.25.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop5.6
End1.7
red by 1.4
5695
#31
5.51.8
4.46.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsEarned