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Red46
262016.3
842710.5
55557.6
Blue41
86239.4
309610.1
24715.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323602060801004641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#15
16.30.7
15.015.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 0.5
247
#16
15.80.8
13.614.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Second
8427
#14
10.50.7
8.39.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 0.4
3096
#28
10.10.8
7.98.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
5555
#38
7.60.7
6.16.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.3
blue by 1.8
8623
#23
9.40.8
10.311.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed