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Red37
842617.2
918215.6
118918.7
Blue50
81518.6
83625.7
505312.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643502040803750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#11
18.71.4
18.316.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 0.1
815
#3
18.60.0
17.817.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.8
End2.2
Second
8426
#36
17.21.4
18.417.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 4.9
5053
#18
12.40.0
11.511.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
9182
#19
15.61.4
17.616.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 9.9
8362
#20
5.70.0
5.85.8
Auto2.3
Teleop2.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned