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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801001204067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8612
#30
23.71.8
21.019.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End2.8
blue by 4.1
7056
#16
27.70.6
31.131.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8
Second
6078
#24
20.61.8
17.115.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 6.2
8280
#40
14.40.6
14.214.8
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End2.0
Third
4422
#27
19.51.8
24.222.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.4
End1.2
red by 8.9
4453
#31
10.60.6
12.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned