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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100672040801201401601808657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.0
28.828.8
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
red by 0.3
1250
#10
32.60.5
31.030.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
Second
1076
#18
31.10.0
30.230.1
Auto8.2
Teleop21.3
End1.5
red by 10.7
5577
#29
20.40.5
20.019.5
Auto7.4
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
4998
#20
30.30.0
27.527.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5
red by 15.9
2224
#38
14.40.5
13.713.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed