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Red119
3335.8
85726.9
81834.0
Blue125
608143.1
661526.8
436237.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311950150200119125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
35.80.5
35.235.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
blue by 7.3
43.10.4
42.843.2
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
Second
818
#1
34.00.5
33.434.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
blue by 3.0
37.00.4
36.737.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
Third
857
#32
26.90.5
26.426.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
red by 0.1
6615
#35
26.80.4
26.526.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6