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Red113
3335.8
85726.9
81834.0
Blue72
353427.7
705627.7
776230.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109945015020011372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#6
35.80.3
35.836.0
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End3.0
red by 5.2
30.60.3
30.930.6
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Second
818
#1
34.00.3
34.034.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.9
End2.4
red by 6.2
3534
#22
27.70.3
28.127.7
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
Third
857
#32
26.90.3
26.927.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.9
End2.6
blue by 0.8
7056
#16
27.70.3
28.127.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8