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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110405015020025072118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.4
33.533.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.2
End4.8
blue by 10.2
43.10.5
42.342.9
Auto15.6
Teleop22.9
End4.6
Second
32.20.4
32.732.3
Auto13.3
Teleop17.6
End1.3
red by 5.3
5907
#17
26.90.5
26.326.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Third
1023
#14
25.30.4
25.825.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
blue by 0.4
244
#26
25.70.5
24.925.4
Auto6.5
Teleop16.5
End2.6