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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106915015097109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#12
33.00.1
32.933.0
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End2.5
red by 2.4
30.60.3
30.030.4
Auto7.9
Teleop20.5
End2.3
Second
1250
#10
32.60.1
32.532.6
Auto10.1
Teleop19.0
End3.5
red by 4.8
3534
#22
27.70.3
27.227.5
Auto7.7
Teleop17.8
End2.3
Third
7226
#19
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto9.9
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 1.0
7056
#16
27.70.3
27.127.5
Auto11.3
Teleop14.6
End1.8