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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114115809010011012013014013874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.6
42.142.8
Auto14.3
Teleop23.4
End5.4
red by 3.4
39.70.6
40.339.6
Auto12.2
Teleop22.0
End5.5
Second
37.00.6
36.036.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End4.5
red by 6.1
3641
#11
30.90.6
31.530.8
Auto7.0
Teleop20.7
End3.1
Third
6615
#35
26.80.6
25.826.5
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End1.6
blue by 3.5
4998
#20
30.30.6
30.930.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End2.5