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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051049095100110115120125114114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#21
34.2
Auto13.7
Teleop18.6
End2.0
blue by 9.3
27
#3
43.5
Auto12.6
Teleop26.8
End4.1
Second
85
#19
31.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.4
End2.0
red by 6.0
6528
#16
25.7
Auto6.0
Teleop15.5
End4.2
Third
2851
#10
25.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 5.4
5505
#26
20.4
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned67%Ensemble oddsEarned