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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9192708010011012013081134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#4
29.80.1
30.730.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End5.4
blue by 2.9
3322
#14
32.70.4
31.832.1
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
3620
#22
26.20.1
27.027.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 1.8
548
#8
28.00.4
27.027.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
2851
#10
25.80.1
25.925.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.8
End2.5
red by 0.8
6569
#28
25.00.4
24.024.4
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2