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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029150150200112112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#15
33.10.3
31.932.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.0
red by 0.4
3322
#14
32.70.6
32.132.7
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End3.2
Second
910
#9
31.80.3
30.630.8
Auto10.8
Teleop18.9
End2.1
red by 3.8
548
#8
28.00.6
27.428.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
3655
#18
29.40.3
28.228.4
Auto7.6
Teleop20.0
End1.8
red by 4.4
6569
#28
25.00.6
24.425.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.5
End2.2