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Red106
170134.8
496731.2
365629.3
Blue114
205441.8
168421.9
353836.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031116080120140160180106114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.80.3
34.534.8
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 7.1
41.80.2
41.641.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
Second
31.20.3
31.031.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
blue by 5.4
36.70.2
36.536.7
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
Third
3656
#26
29.30.3
29.029.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
red by 7.4
1684
#17
21.90.2
21.721.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1