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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671002040801201401607172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.5
27.728.1
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
blue by 0.9
32.11.0
30.829.8
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
Second
858
#22
19.50.5
20.821.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
blue by 12.3
31.81.0
32.631.6
Auto10.8
Teleop18.4
End2.6
Third
8427
#35
19.30.5
15.716.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 2.6
1684
#17
21.91.0
23.122.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed