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Red96
150633.9
715425.9
567627.5
Blue108
496731.2
353932.1
887329.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810040608012014016096108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.0
31.832.8
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 1.8
32.10.9
30.431.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
Second
5676
#19
27.51.0
26.627.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End2.9
blue by 3.7
31.20.9
29.029.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Third
7154
#28
25.91.0
22.323.3
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 3.1
8873
#20
29.00.9
29.730.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned67%Ensemble oddsMissed