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Red97
567532.6
353836.7
377019.9
Blue102
750126.0
496731.2
49429.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9394708010011012097102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.9
33.934.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 5.4
31.21.2
29.430.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Second
5675
#13
32.60.9
31.031.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
red by 2.8
494
#11
29.81.2
29.931.0
Auto7.3
Teleop17.0
End5.4
Third
3770
#40
19.90.9
19.019.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End1.6
blue by 6.1
7501
#25
26.01.2
25.526.6
Auto12.2
Teleop12.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsEarned