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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715702040801001201406268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#28
25.90.4
22.021.6
Auto11.9
Teleop12.0
End2.0
blue by 2.1
5530
#18
28.01.0
21.222.2
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
9176
#34
24.30.4
24.223.8
Auto9.9
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 4.9
858
#22
19.51.0
21.322.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
8427
#35
19.30.4
16.115.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 6.1
6113
#33
13.21.0
10.911.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed