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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8485607080901001106081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#18
28.01.1
29.728.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End3.1
blue by 4.2
32.10.3
31.731.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2
Second
2586
#29
24.81.1
25.924.8
Auto9.5
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 0.7
3688
#31
24.10.3
24.524.1
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
1684
#17
21.91.1
21.220.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 2.3
8373
#37
19.60.3
20.019.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned