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Red117
170134.8
496731.2
365629.3
Blue102
567532.6
354632.1
261135.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102109708090120130140150117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#14
34.80.5
34.034.6
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
blue by 0.2
2611
#24
35.00.1
34.234.3
Auto13.5
Teleop20.4
End1.1
Second
31.20.5
30.531.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
blue by 1.4
5675
#13
32.60.1
31.831.9
Auto10.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
Third
3656
#26
29.30.5
28.629.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1
blue by 2.9
32.10.1
31.431.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.3
End5.2