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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081040501502002503003506469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.7
40.740.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 7.1
1701
#14
34.80.6
34.634.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.2
End2.1
Second
36.70.7
35.534.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 5.4
31.20.6
31.030.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End3.7
Third
1684
#17
21.90.7
20.820.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 7.4
3656
#26
29.30.6
29.128.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.1