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Red123
353836.7
168421.9
205441.8
Blue95
353932.1
148124.7
150633.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069905015020012395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.4
40.040.4
Auto12.2
Teleop23.5
End6.2
red by 7.9
33.90.1
33.833.9
Auto10.4
Teleop18.0
End5.5
Second
36.70.4
34.835.2
Auto9.1
Teleop21.5
End6.1
red by 4.5
32.10.1
32.032.1
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End2.1
Third
1684
#17
21.90.4
20.120.5
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 2.8
1481
#21
24.70.1
24.624.7
Auto13.5
Teleop9.6
End1.6