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Red69
150216.6
213725.5
553424.6
Blue79
600224.7
477931.7
360328.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70910204060801001201401606979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#11
25.50.2
26.526.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
blue by 6.2
31.70.0
31.631.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End3.2
Second
24.60.2
21.721.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 4.3
3603
#23
28.90.0
25.925.9
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3
Third
1502
#39
16.60.2
17.717.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End0.8
blue by 8.1
6002
#20
24.70.0
22.122.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed