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Red68
716622.1
118933.7
102529.0
Blue109
276744.1
778224.1
6734.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410620406012014016068109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#13
33.70.7
31.230.5
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
blue by 10.4
44.11.0
38.839.9
Auto16.2
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Second
1025
#28
29.00.7
29.428.6
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
blue by 5.1
67
#3
34.01.0
36.637.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End4.5
Third
7166
#12
22.10.7
18.217.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 2.0
7782
#22
24.11.0
18.119.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned