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Red71
923721.9
20118.6
817913.3
Blue86
213725.5
118933.7
600224.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469402060801201401607186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9237
#27
21.91.6
20.922.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 11.8
1189
#13
33.70.4
30.531.0
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Second
201
#33
18.61.6
11.913.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 7.0
2137
#11
25.50.4
26.727.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Third
8179
#38
13.31.6
14.215.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End0.6
blue by 11.4
6002
#20
24.70.4
22.122.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned