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Red66
171124.4
612125.3
923721.9
Blue103
102529.0
335741.2
766021.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799105010015020066103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#24
25.31.1
24.623.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End2.9
blue by 15.9
41.21.5
36.838.2
Auto10.8
Teleop26.8
End3.6
Second
1711
#32
24.41.1
26.024.8
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 4.6
1025
#28
29.01.5
28.630.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Third
9237
#27
21.91.1
22.521.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 0.6
21.31.5
15.817.2
Auto8.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned53%Ensemble oddsEarned