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Red73
10723.4
778224.1
22628.5
Blue82
477931.7
923721.9
776824.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7386204060801001201407382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#25
28.50.4
26.727.0
Auto14.5
Teleop12.2
End1.8
blue by 3.2
31.70.3
31.631.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End3.2
Second
7782
#22
24.10.4
18.919.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
blue by 0.4
7768
#31
24.50.3
23.323.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
107
#19
23.40.4
21.722.1
Auto9.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
red by 1.5
9237
#27
21.90.3
21.321.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed