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Red90
920824.5
516631.0
600224.7
Blue94
609035.0
923721.9
778224.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818465707590951001059094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
31.01.1
27.028.1
Auto12.1
Teleop15.8
End3.1
blue by 4.0
6090
#14
35.01.2
34.535.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.6
Second
6002
#20
24.71.1
24.425.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End5.1
red by 0.7
7782
#22
24.11.2
19.320.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End1.1
Third
9208
#30
24.51.1
22.123.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
red by 2.6
9237
#27
21.91.2
21.622.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed