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Red73
564111.5
553424.6
102529.0
Blue115
931233.7
920824.5
118933.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719502040608012014016073115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#28
29.00.4
27.527.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
blue by 4.8
33.72.1
28.931.0
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.6
Second
24.60.4
24.625.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 9.1
1189
#13
33.72.1
30.832.9
Auto11.2
Teleop20.3
End2.2
Third
5641
#40
11.50.4
15.115.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 13.0
9208
#30
24.52.1
23.225.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned