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Red82
360431.3
22628.5
213725.5
Blue89
171124.4
207542.5
776824.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039860801201408289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#35
31.30.7
34.834.1
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End3.3
blue by 11.3
42.50.0
41.841.7
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
Second
226
#25
28.50.7
29.128.3
Auto14.5
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 4.1
7768
#31
24.50.0
22.722.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
2137
#11
25.50.7
28.728.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 1.1
1711
#32
24.40.0
24.724.7
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed