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Red111
609035.0
931233.7
360328.9
Blue70
20118.6
171124.4
376729.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112692040608010012014016018011170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#14
35.00.3
36.436.7
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 5.6
29.50.2
26.126.3
Auto8.4
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
33.70.3
32.332.7
Auto12.1
Teleop19.0
End2.6
red by 9.3
1711
#32
24.40.2
25.525.6
Auto6.8
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
3603
#23
28.90.3
27.227.5
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3
red by 10.3
201
#33
18.60.2
16.016.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed