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Red88
920824.5
817913.3
207542.5
Blue70
360328.9
150216.6
661819.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9069204060801001201408870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.5
41.441.9
Auto13.8
Teleop24.0
End4.8
red by 13.7
3603
#23
28.90.4
27.928.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.3
End1.3
Second
9208
#30
24.50.5
25.025.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End3.1
red by 4.7
6618
#36
19.90.4
20.520.9
Auto10.1
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Third
8179
#38
13.30.5
12.312.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End0.6
blue by 3.4
1502
#39
16.60.4
16.116.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed