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Red85
477931.7
89425.0
20118.6
Blue106
102529.0
276744.1
360431.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75122406010014016085106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.8
31.732.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.5
End3.2
blue by 12.3
44.10.1
45.745.8
Auto16.2
Teleop21.9
End5.9
Second
894
#16
25.00.8
24.124.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.4
blue by 6.2
3604
#35
31.30.1
30.430.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End3.3
Third
201
#33
18.60.8
17.818.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 10.4
1025
#28
29.00.1
28.828.8
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned87%Ensemble oddsEarned