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Red33
661819.9
835214.0
564111.5
Blue81
214529.3
716622.1
776824.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498502040601001201403381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#36
19.91.0
20.919.9
Auto10.1
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 9.4
2145
#17
29.30.4
27.427.8
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4
Second
8352
#29
14.01.0
15.114.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 10.4
7768
#31
24.50.4
24.024.5
Auto9.4
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
5641
#40
11.51.0
12.611.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 10.5
7166
#12
22.10.4
21.021.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed