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Red79
20118.6
766021.3
360431.3
Blue89
716622.1
376729.5
612125.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617720401001201401607989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#35
31.31.5
31.833.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End3.3
red by 1.8
29.50.9
27.228.1
Auto8.4
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
21.31.5
14.916.4
Auto8.3
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 4.0
6121
#24
25.30.9
22.923.8
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End2.9
Third
201
#33
18.61.5
10.411.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 3.5
7166
#12
22.10.9
17.318.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed