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Red98
86226.7
553424.6
171834.2
Blue115
516631.0
214529.3
376729.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959570809010011012098115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#15
34.20.3
34.534.7
Auto12.6
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 3.2
5166
#18
31.00.5
29.630.1
Auto12.1
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
862
#21
26.70.3
27.027.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.4
End1.7
blue by 2.8
29.50.5
28.028.6
Auto8.4
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Third
24.60.3
24.925.1
Auto6.5
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 4.7
2145
#17
29.30.5
27.828.4
Auto10.1
Teleop16.8
End2.4