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Red119
436236.5
661526.3
608142.6
Blue115
205441.9
168421.9
353836.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611050100150200119115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
Unranked
42.60.2
42.142.3
Auto14.6
Teleop23.0
End5.0
red by 0.8
2054
Unranked
41.90.2
41.741.9
Auto12.1
Teleop23.6
End6.2
Second
4362
Unranked
36.50.2
36.036.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End4.1
blue by 0.2
3538
Unranked
36.70.2
36.536.7
Auto9.0
Teleop21.6
End6.1
Third
6615
Unranked
26.30.2
25.826.0
Auto7.8
Teleop17.3
End1.3
red by 4.4
1684
Unranked
21.90.2
21.721.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.1
End3.1