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Red34
88993.7
828011.6
170125.7
Blue62
590115.7
71459.0
12323.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4649102030406070803462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#10
25.70.7
26.726.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
red by 2.1
123
#5
23.61.2
21.022.2
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
11.60.7
10.39.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
blue by 4.0
15.71.2
14.315.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End1.4
Third
8899
#24
3.70.7
5.24.5
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
blue by 5.3
7145
#15
9.01.2
8.910.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed