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Red14
363210.9
30964.8
222413.8
Blue6
57568.4
48543.3
88993.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35240406080146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.81.1
11.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.0
red by 5.4
5756
#14
8.41.1
10.39.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Second
10.91.1
11.710.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End1.5
red by 7.2
8899
#24
3.71.1
7.26.1
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
Third
3096
#19
4.81.1
7.26.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End0.5
red by 1.5
4854
#13
3.31.1
5.24.1
Auto0.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed