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Red35
71459.0
609912.9
83529.5
Blue50
20486.9
170125.7
719615.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801003550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6099
#11
12.90.2
13.813.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 12.8
1701
#10
25.70.2
29.029.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
8352
#20
9.50.2
11.811.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.2
blue by 6.1
15.60.2
11.912.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End0.1
Third
7145
#15
9.00.2
9.89.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.0
red by 2.0
2048
#16
6.90.2
6.46.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed