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Red41
557721.7
88993.7
590115.7
Blue66
719615.6
828011.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49320204060801001204166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
22.021.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 6.1
15.60.2
14.915.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End0.1
Second
15.70.3
16.015.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End1.4
red by 4.0
11.60.2
11.011.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.9
Third
8899
#24
3.70.3
4.03.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
blue by 2.7
6.40.3
5.45.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.7
End1.1