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Red60
12323.6
43907.2
363210.9
Blue2
60965.7
83529.5
51975.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46220406080100602

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#5
23.60.3
22.622.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
red by 14.1
8352
#20
9.50.5
10.29.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Second
10.90.3
9.910.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End1.5
red by 5.2
5197
#22
5.70.5
6.35.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Third
4390
#18
7.20.3
6.26.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6
red by 1.5
5.70.5
6.35.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.6