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Red30
48543.3
66163.4
20486.9
Blue13
60965.7
83529.5
51975.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12250204060803013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2048
#16
6.90.3
6.66.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 2.6
8352
#20
9.50.2
9.79.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Second
6616
#17
3.40.3
3.03.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 2.3
5197
#22
5.70.2
5.95.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Third
4854
#13
3.30.3
2.93.2
Auto0.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 2.4
5.70.2
5.95.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End0.6