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Red46
557721.7
88993.7
590115.7
Blue40
363210.9
43907.2
12323.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474301020306070804640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.0
22.022.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 1.9
123
#5
23.60.1
22.822.7
Auto10.4
Teleop11.3
End1.9
Second
15.70.0
16.016.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End1.4
red by 4.8
10.90.1
10.110.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End1.5
Third
8899
#24
3.70.0
4.04.0
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.2
End0.3
blue by 3.5
4390
#18
7.20.1
6.46.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End0.6