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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322201040506070803833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#13
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 4.1
3302
#31
13.80.8
10.010.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
5532
#37
6.60.4
4.85.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 1.2
7856
#35
7.80.8
6.37.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
4758
#38
5.10.4
5.45.7
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
red by 1.2
9727
#36
3.90.8
4.95.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed